Tag Archives | Polling Methodology

Hard data from primary proves the San Diego UT/Survey USA Poll is flawed

The best way to assess how accurate current polls in the San Diego mayoral race are is to look at their past performance and compare to actual election outcomes.  This is the same technique that 538 polling guru Nate Silver uses to assigns accuracy weights to different polling companies.  New data analysis of the November […]

Read full story ·

Tags: , ,

Comments are closed

Nevada’s Odd Numbers: The Complexity of Polling in the Silver State

In the past three electoral cycles Nevada has commanded significant national attention due to the state’s status as both a presidential and congressional battleground state.  Yet, despite the Silver State’s increased electoral clout, Nevada remains one of the most difficult states to reliably poll; a consideration that is not without its consequences as flawed polling […]

Read full story ·

Tags: , ,

Comments are closed