Colorado’s Latina/Latino Gender Gap

The gender gap remains a prominent fixture in this election cycle and the recent Republican National Convention highlighted what some interpreted as the Romney campaign’s attempt to address the issue. Yet, it is not clear how such a gap will play out in the calculus of turning out to vote, and thus the implication for […]

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Who Out-Latino’d Who? Assessing the RNC and DNC Conventions Latino Outreach

Latino political leaders were on display at the 2012 political conventions like never before.  The Republican convention featured two Latino Governors and two Latino U.S. Senators (with the impending election of Ted Cruz in Texas).  The Democrats countered with a Latino chairman of their entire convention and a Latino keynote speaker on opening night.  The […]

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Tracking Poll Wave 3: No increase in Latino enthusiasm following conventions

Despite two weeks of widespread political coverage in which both parties made an effort to reach out to Latino voters, enthusiasm about November is still very much in question.  Wave 3 of the impreMedia/Latino Decisions tracking poll did not find any noticeable increase in levels of enthusiasm or certainty to vote, and to the contrary, […]

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Introducing LD Vote Predict

This is the second of two posts introducing new models that Latino Decisions will use in predicting Latino voter turnout along with the choice of candidate by those voters who do turn out to vote. In a previous post, we laid out a strategy for estimating Latino voter turnout. Here, we introduce and briefly explain […]

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Tracking Poll Wave 2: Romney gains among Latinos post-convention

After a week in the spotlight in which many prominent Latinos took to the stage at the RNC Convention, the impreMedia/Latino Decisions tracking poll finds a noticeable bump in support for Romney and Republicans among Latinos, as reported by Pilar Marrero.  The question will be can they sustain it, or will the new found support erode […]

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Mitt Romney’s Magic Number

Mitt Romney’s campaign has identified 38% as the “magic number” of Latino voters they need to secure victory over President Obama in the November election.  This seems rather ambitious; John McCain earned 31% of the Latino vote in 2008, and Romney stands at a mere 26% ten weeks before the election. In light of the […]

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Introducing LD Turnout Predict

This is the first of two posts introducing new models that Latino Decisions will use in predicting Latino voter turnout along with the choice of candidate by those voters who do turn out to vote. We begin with our plan for estimating Latino voter turnout based on the results of our weekly Latino Decisions/impreMedia tracking […]

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Tracking Poll Wave 1: Latino vote uphill climb for Romney

By Pilar Marrero, impreMedia Just before the beginning of the Republican National Convention in Tampa presidential candidate Mitt Romney continues to overwhelmingly lose the Latino vote and has low levels of favorability among the majority of the Latino electorate. The first weekly tracking poll of Latino registered voters by Latino Decisions and impreMedia reveals that […]

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Can the Republicans Connect With Latinos on Abortion?

This article was originally published at NBC LATINO Abortion is back in the political spotlight.  Senate candidate Todd Akin made sure of that in his remarks regarding abortion, rape, and his beliefs on the science of procreation.  His comments came just days before the Republican National Committee finalized its convention platform that calls for a […]

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The Latino Vote and Down Ticket Races in Nevada

While presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s anemic support among Latinos is likely to weaken his prospects in states with large or emerging Latino voting populations, it is less clear whether his unpopularity among Latinos will spill-over to down ticket races; an issue of particular import for Republican candidates running in competitive House and Senate […]

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