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How to measure Latino influence: a new quantitative model

By: Matt Barreto, Loren Collingwood, Sylvia Manzano The importance of the Latino electorate has been the subject of both academic inquiry and media discourses. The question of Latino influence is frequently limited by an approach that focuses on single variable considerations (e.g., voter turnout or ethnic-targeted campaign spending) that are often contest-specific idiosyncrasies. Relying on […]

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Hispanic Vote will decide next Governor of New Mexico

By Gabriel Sanchez, Jillian Medeiros and Vickie Ybarra, University of New Mexico With less than three weeks to go before the mid-term elections the outcome of several important races will be highly influenced by the Hispanic vote. Reports released by Latino Decisions indicate that the Latino vote will be highly influential in as many of […]

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Despite large lead, Dem vote choice still underperforms Democratic partisanship

With little more than two weeks to go until the November election, the most apparent characteristic of this week’s track is stability. Latinos prefer Democratic candidates to Republican candidates, 59.0% to 22.3%, with 18.7% undecided. This margin is modestly weaker than last week’s but do not meaningfully alter the complexion of the race among Latino […]

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Is the Latino enthusiasm gap closing? Latest LD tracking poll…

With three weeks to go until election day the Latino Decisions tracking poll reports the first signs of increasing enthusiasm and vote intention among Latino registered voters in 2010. Last week the Pew Hispanic Center released a report indicating that just 51% of Latinos planned to vote in the November midterm, however Pew does not […]

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4 weeks until election, economy and immigration still top issues for Latinos

It has been a very busy week since our last post. The issue of immigration jumped back into the spotlight as the Whitman housekeeper saga unfolded (over days), California’s gubernatorial candidates debated on Spanish-langauge television, the posturing continued over the failed defense appropriations vote (which was more about Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell and the Dream […]

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Are Latino immigrant voters in California still undecided?

Last Monday the Los Angeles Times reported Latino voters favor Democrat Jerry Brown over Republican Meg Whitman by a wide margin. Despite a preference for Brown, data from Latino Decisions suggest that many Latinos, in particular newly naturalized immigrant voters were undecided in the gubernatorial election. Then came the allegations that Meg Whitman had mistreated […]

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Latinos are From Mars, Latinas are from Venus – in Politics too!

The bestselling book, Men are from Mars, Women are from Venus, is about the myriad emotional and romantic differences between the two sexes. Politics was not covered in this book, but it might as well have been. More specifically gender differences in politics exist and are largely immune to ethnicity; leading up to the 2010 […]

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LD Tracking Poll — Latino Voters Overwhelmingly Support DREAM Act

The latest data from the Latino Decisions tracking poll shows 77.5% of Latino registered voters support the DREAM Act amendment, versus just 11.5% who oppose. The new data come from updated tracking poll interviews collected September 17-23, 2010, the week during which the DREAM Act amendment faced a procedural vote in the Senate. At the […]

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Latino vote may provide critical margin for Brown, Boxer in California

A new poll released today by Latino Decisions, in partnership with the Los Angeles Times and University of Southern California shows Latino voters favor Democrat Jerry Brown over Republican Meg Whitman by a margin of 54% to 28% with 18% still undecided. At an estimated 19% of the overall California electorate, this 26-point margin among […]

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Latino voter tracking poll: Some brightening news for Democrats?

With five weeks of interviewing complete, we are beginning to see several patterns emerging on several dimensions of importance, even as other measures exhibit a bit of bouncing around, suggesting that the dust hasn’t fully settled on the Latino electorate for this midterm election cycle. In all, stability is the best descriptor for this wave’s […]

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