Latino Decisions Blog

Category: 2012 Polls/Elections

Census 2012 vote data highlight dramatic shift in racial diversity of American electorate

New data from the November 2012 U.S. Census Current Population Survey (CPS) reveals a major shift in the U.S. voting population, with the number of White, non-Hispanic voters declining by…

A Path Forward for the GOP in Nevada?

In the wake of the 2012 election, there has been a good deal of hand-wringing among Republicans in response to their party’s dismal showing among Latinos.  In no state was…

The Untapped Potential of the Latino Electorate

The 2012 election was a watershed moment for the Latino electorate in many respects. In giving President Obama a record level of support (75%), Latinos were decisive to the outcome;…

The Results of the 2012 Plebiscite on Puerto Rico’s Political Status

On November 6, 2012, the residents of Puerto Rico went to the polls to vote on both island-wide general elections and a local plebiscite on the territorial status of Puerto…

The Rich Context of the 2012 Plebiscite on Puerto Rico’s Political Status

On November 6, 2012, the residents of Puerto Rico went to the polls to vote on both island-wide general elections and a local plebiscite on the territorial status of Puerto…

Latino Independents’ Preferences Are Key to Future Electoral Success

The 2012 election underscored the power of the Latino vote, particularly in battleground states like Colorado, Florida and Nevada.  Recent blogs here at Latino Decisions highlight the wide range of…

Latino voters and the fiscal cliff: tax increases on wealthy must be included

The 2012 presidential election was barely over when Republicans correctly surmised that their outreach to Latino voters was anemic and they better change course.  The focus to date has been…

Latino voters strongly support protecting the environment and politicians should take note

In the wake of the 2012 presidential election, the Latino vote in states like Colorado has been held up as a critical and influential factor.  Latino voters turned out in…

The Sea-Change in Colorado

A month seems like an appropriate time to reflect on the outcome of Colorado’s 2012 general election and the role of Latino voters in both the Presidential and state-level contests. …

Nevada’s Odd Numbers: The Complexity of Polling in the Silver State

In the past three electoral cycles Nevada has commanded significant national attention due to the state’s status as both a presidential and congressional battleground state.  Yet, despite the Silver State’s…

Pre-Election Polls Got it Wrong in Florida

Gary Segura recently provided a discussion of how exit polls often misrepresent Latino voters (Badly!), pointing out that exit polls often rely on small samples of Latino likely voters, rarely…

The 2012 Latino Electorate: Results and Resources

Results from the ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll – the only national survey specifically designed to study the 2012 Latino Electorate — are now available at 2012-election-eve-polls. All publicly available…

Obama wins 75% of Latino vote, marks historic Latino influence in presidential election

Gary Segura and Matt Barreto of Latino Decisions webinar presentation today focused on the key insights generated from the ImpreMedia-Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll. The survey included a national sample…

impreMedia-Latino Decisions election eve poll now posted for 5 states – show very large vote for Obama

impreMedia and Latino Decisions have now released polling data of Latino voters in 5 eastern states with influential Latino voting populations: Florida, Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina and Massachusetts.  Full results…

ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll provides key insights regarding Latino policy views

Here are a few highlights from the latest release of data from the ImpreMedia-Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll of 5,600 Latino voters conducted during the final days of the campaign. Click…

Economy and immigration are top issues to Latino voters in 2012

The ImpreMedia-Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll of 5,600 Latino voters has indicated that the Economy/Jobs and Immigration were the most important issues to Latino voters in 2012. As indicated in the figure…

ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll: The 2012 Latino Electorate

ImpreMedia and Latino Decisions will release results from our national election eve poll of 5,600 Latino registered voters the morning of November 6, 2012. The ImpreMedia-Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll was…

LD Vote Predict final model: Obama 72.9 vs. Romney 27.1

Final LD Vote and Turnout Predict Projections: Record-breaking Turnout and Lopsided Support for Obama among Latinos Over the final several weeks of polling (Figure 1), the LD Vote Predict estimates…

Final impreMedia-LD tracking poll: if Latino vote is high, Obama will carry 4 key swing states

High Latino voter turnout could deliver swing states of Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, and Florida to the Democrats impreMedia & Latino Decisions today released the last in a series of 11…

Predict election outcome through Latino Decisions/America’s Voice Interactive map

We have conducted extensive analysis throughout the campaign season focused on the Latino electorate and our blogs have repeatedly argued that Latino Voters will be a major force in deciding…