This article was originally published at NBC LATINO
Barack Obama is untouchable, at least in the Latino electorate. Two recent polls show his support among Latinos ranging from 70-80 percent. However, these polls took place before the President stated that his views on same- sex marriage had evolved to where he now supports same-sex marriage. And if the Republicans have it right, then the deep social conservatism of Latinos will be the undoing of the president.
Latinos are a religious bunch and overwhelmingly Catholic. Close to two-thirds of Latinos state that religion provides quite a bit, to a great deal of guidance in their day-to-day living. And for a majority of Latinos this guidance is attained through regular attendance at religious services – not just the occasional wedding, funeral, or baptism! It is this level of religiosity that has led Republicans to await a great Latino migration into the socially conservative promise land of the GOP. And today, this belief translates into a glimmer of hope for Romney that the mostly Catholic Latino electorate will unfriend the gay-friendly president and like Romney.
There is no doubt that Latinos are religiously devout. But, the real question is what does that have to do with politics? The answer is, very little. According to a recent impreMedia-Latino Decisions poll 63 percent of Latino voters strongly disagree with religious leaders telling members which candidate to vote for. The distaste for mixing politics and religion is actually higher among Latinos than the general electorate. In the Latino electorate the view that politics is about moral issues such as marriage for same sex couples and abortion is in the micro-minority, fourteen percent.
Only a quarter of the Latino electorate believes same-sex couples should receive no legal recognition but over a majority believe they should. In particular, 43 percent of Latino voters support same-sex marriage. This level of support for marriage between same sex couples is almost double that of general electorate Republicans. The math doesn’t add up; the views of Latinos on the social issue of same- sex marriage are inconsistent with the GOP. The conventional wisdom that Latinos because of their religiosity are “Republicans who just don’t know it yet” is not consistent with Latino public opinion.
The President’s lead of 50-plus points over Romney will not shrink, let alone disappear in the wake of his same-sex marriage support. That being said, the President must be attuned to the ideological diversity among the Latino electorate. While 6 out of ten Latinos believe that homosexuality should be accepted by society there are portions of the Latino electorate that feel uncomfortable with homosexuality and same-sex marriage. In particular, foreign-born Latinos, those that are Spanish dominant, and older Latinos are the most likely to oppose same-sex marriage. Going forward, the Obama campaign cannot disregard these concerns and allow for these groups to become disengaged. Instead, the campaign must draw on the strong belief of Latinos that politics and religion do not mix.
The president will face some difficulties with his new support of same-sex marriage. Among the general electorate this may even translate into some voters saying over into the Romney camp. But, among the Latino electorate, the issue of same-sex marriage isn’t the kryptonite that can blast the President’s superhero lead over Romney.
Dr. Victoria M. DeFrancesco Soto is the Communications Director for Latino Decisions and Fellow at the Center for Politics and Governance at the LBJ School of Public Affairs at the University of Texas, at Austin. Connect with her at:drvmds@latinodecisions.com
Latinos are aware of discrimination and most will feel a sense of sympathy for same sex couples, and all those oppressed by laws that separate families. Most Latinos will respect Obama’s decision for showing leadership on controversial issues, gives us hopes that he will address immigration next. There is no question that over 80 percent or more will vote for him.
Love him even more for this! Ya era hora!!!! I am for same-sex marriage & for Obama taking a stand and supporting it. Diversity, multiculturalism, open mindedness, acceptance: that is what the world needs more of. Everyone and specially every minority (Latinos, African Americans, gay, etc) benefit from this.
Hi my name is Jaime and I work for the Elizabeth Emken Campaign. She is running against Senator Feinstein. It is the economic and ecological policies of Feinstein, Boxer and Pelosi that put untold numbers of Hispanics and Latinos out of work during the current recession. Contrary to what you may believe from TV commercials and the News Republicans like and want both parties inside the Republican or independent tent. Case in point, The current administration talks a great game demonizing the R’s for being against immigration. To the contrary, Obama, Reid and Pelosi held the three branches and did nothing to help with any type of sensible agreement. Would love to hear your thoughts. I’m Jaime
@Martha: However, Our President should have played safe and have waited for his reelection to state this critical pronouncement.
I believe every large latino family in the U.S.A. has at least one beloved gay family member. Our latino culture does not reject our gay children. Gay marriage is a non issue for my latino family.