Paying for an Unkept Promise: LD Column on Noticias.Univision.com

The latest Latino Decisions column by David R. Ayón  published on the Univision news website this week examines how Latino voters, leaders, and organizations might respond to President Obama’s decision to put off executive action on immigration until after the November election. The decision to delay action undercuts Latino voter enthusiasm in significant fashion. Ayón proposes […]

Read full story · Comments are closed

Did Dems miss an opportunity for Latino mobilization?

On June 30, 2014 president Obama announced that if Congress did not pass comprehensive immigration reform that he would implement an administrative order providing temporary legal status to millions of undocumented by the end of summer and before the November 2014 election. As late as August 28, 2014 White House officials suggested to the media […]

Read full story ·

Tags: ,

Comments are closed

How Latinos will matter in the midterm election

This piece originally appeared at The Monkey Cage blog at the Washington Post. Heading into the 2014 elections, much of the conventional wisdom suggests that Latino voters are unlikely to affect outcomes. Most notably, except for Colorado, there are no competitive U.S. Senate races where Latino voters are positioned to be influential. In U.S. House […]

Read full story · Comments are closed

LD column at NoticiasUnivision.com: Moment of Truth for Obama & Democrats

The latest Latino Decisions column published on the Univision television network news website Noticias.Univision.com, written by Senior Strategist David R. Ayón highlights the mounting chorus of criticism that President Obama has been subjected to throughout the summer. The question is if Latino voters —  who want administrative relief for undocumented immigrants in lieu of legislated immigration reform — can […]

Read full story · Comments are closed

Reviewing the Evidence Part 2: CIR Failure and Political Fallout

President Obama’s comments to the press yesterday provided a strong signal that changes to immigration administration and enforcement via executive actions are imminent. It is important to remember that Congressional failure to pass immigration reform is the sole reason President Obama is now poised to take such actions.  In Part 2 of our series “Reviewing […]

Read full story · Comments are closed

Reviewing the Evidence Part 1: Support for Comprehensive Immigration Reform

In a matter of weeks or even days, we anticipate that President Obama will articulate some changes to immigration administration and enforcement that will provide some security to undocumented persons living and working in the United States. This action will represent the full and final defeat of the legislative effort at the hands of House […]

Read full story · Comments are closed

The Method Matters: Evidence from Latino Voter Turnout Experiments

A common belief inside campaigns is that lower propensity voters just won’t show up in a midterm election. This thinking is misguided and only serves to create a cycle in which campaigns fail to reach out to voters who are most in need of outreach. Previous field experiments have demonstrated repeatedly that low-propensity Latino voters […]

Read full story ·

Tags: , ,

Comments are closed

Blowback: Why Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric and Ads Hurt the Republican Party

As congressional lawmakers return home for the summer recess and campaign for the upcoming mid-term election, Republicans believe immigration is an issue they can use to mobilize their base. Specifically, many are calculating that voters are frustrated with the present crisis at the border and will respond positively to rhetoric that is tough on immigration. […]

Read full story · Comments are closed

How to Get Out the Latino Vote: Evidence from Field Experiments

During midterm elections, Latino voter turnout is known to lag below that of other racial groups in the United States, despite a growing population. In 2010 the census estimates Latino turnout was 61% among registered voters, compared to 70% turnout for the population as a whole. In contrast, Latino turnout had surged to a high […]

Read full story ·

Tags: , ,

Comments are closed

HR 5230 and HR 5272: Making a Bad Situation Worse and What It Means for November and Beyond

Last Friday, after months of foot-dragging and increasingly bizarre explanations to justify their inaction, Republican congressional leaders finally allowed legislation addressing immigration policy to be brought to the House floor for consideration. For those holding out hope that the House would act on comprehensive immigration reform before slinking away for a five-week recess, Friday night’s […]

Read full story ·

Tags: , ,

Comments are closed