Lies, Damn Lies, and Exit Polls

In the 36 hours since the results of the Presidential election became clear, a number of “analyses” have emerged suggesting that a surprisingly large share of the Latino vote went to Donald Trump, despite his demonization of Latinos, his attacks on Judge Curiel and Alicia Machado, his blanket hostility to immigrants, and more.  The basis […]

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The Rundown on Latino Voter Election Eve Polling and Latino Exit Polls

Washington, DC – On a press call and webinar held today, Matt Barreto, UCLA Professor of Political Science and Chicano Studies, and Co-Founder of Latino Decisions, presented the results of the Latino Decisions Election Eve poll. The key finding: Latinos backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 79-18% margin.   Barreto also highlighted why […]

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Latino Voter Wall Blocks Trump’s Path to White House

Latino voters are about to play a pivotal role in determining the outcome of the 2016 presidential election. The latest Latino Decisions polls show that Republican presidential nominee Trump is losing the Latino vote across the country, including in the battleground states of Nevada (where 17.2 percent of the eligible electorate is Latino), Colorado (14.5 […]

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Latino Electorate On Track For Historic Turnout In 2016

According to the latest data from our national tracking poll, Latino Decisions projects that between 13.1 million and 14.7 million Latinos will vote in 2016. This estimate represents a three percent to five percent increase over the 2012 Latino turnout rate which, coupled with the dramatic growth of the age-eligible Latino population, will yield between 1.9 […]

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The Trump Effect and the Latino Vote

Will Donald Trump’s inflammatory rhetoric increase Latino voter turnout? Some contend that Latinos will turn out in record numbers as a result of Republican nominee Trump’s attacks against immigrants, creating a so-called ‘Trump effect.” A similar phenomenon was observed in California in the mid-1990s, when an anti-immigrant initiative and governor led to an increase in […]

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Hispanic Women are Concerned About Economic Security and Support Policies to Address the Concern

Today is National Latina Equal Pay Day, so we thought we would look at how Latinas view the economy in 2016. A poll commissioned by the Center for American Progress and conducted by Latino Decisions surveyed 800 Hispanic women between April and May this year in four battleground states – Colorado, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia. […]

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Mobilizing Latinos with Identity Appeals: Evidence from Two Voter Turnout Experiments

Past research shows Latinos are more likely to vote and participate in politics when there is a Latino candidate on the ballot and when issues directly affecting the Latino community are at stake in the election, much like in the current election. This research suggests that ethnic solidarity drives participation. At the same time, dozens […]

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Political Diversity in the Latino Electorate

Throughout this presidential election, much has been written about the importance of Latino voters; turnout rates have been projected and political preferences dissected. The tenor of these writings suggest that Latino voters will turn out in record numbers against Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and the Republican Party. However, it would be presumptuous to conclude […]

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Latinos in non-battleground states of CA, TX, NY reporting much lower levels of outreach

Latino voter contact rates in California, New York and Texas much lower than in battleground states of Arizona, Florida, Nevada and North Carolina With two weeks to go before Election 2016, Texan Latino voters are most  likely to have been ignored, and less certain to vote WASHINGTON, D.C. – With less than two weeks to go […]

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New Data Shows Latino Electorate Continues to Experience Wide Variety of Voting Problems at Polling Place

Long waits, lack of Spanish assistance and issues with identification among problems noted by Latino registered voters. New letter to DOJ calls for deployment of election monitors to areas of concern to ensure voter-intimidation does not affect Latinos and other underrepresented communities   WASHINGTON, D.C. – With two weeks to go before Election Day, the […]

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