Tag Archives | Trump

LD Vote Predict 2016: Latino Voters Poised to Cast Most Lopsided Presidential Vote on Record

LD Vote Predict: 82% Clinton, 15% Trump, 3% other candidates (+/– 5.5%) In 2012 we unveiled our statistical model predicting election day vote called LD Vote Predict, which proved to be extremely accurate.  Using the same hierarchical Bayesian model we now turn to our 2016 tracking poll to estimate election day vote choice for Clinton v. […]

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Latina Voters Say Adiós To Trump

Donald Trump’s ongoing derogatory remarks toward women have generated widespread criticism. Not only did he recently say that Hillary Clinton did not have “a presidential look,” but in the first presidential debate Clinton reminded viewers that Trump demeaned Alicia Machado, the Venezuelan Miss Universe, as “Miss Piggy” and “Miss Housekeeping.” These and other degrading remarks […]

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Announcing the 2016 Latino Tracking Poll – Week 1

Today Latino Decisions released the first wave of the 2016 election weekly tracking poll in partnership with NALEO and Noticias Telemundo.  The poll will continue for 8 weekly installments every Monday through the day before Election Day and will track Latino vote choice, enthusiasm, evaluations of party outreach to Latinos, the most important issues, and […]

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The Correlates of Latino Political Behavior

With both parties’ presidential nomination campaigns settled, the 2016 general election match-up between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump is coming into focus.  Central to these discussions is the support that the candidates are likely to draw from Latino voters.  Yet, as has been the case in recent election cycles, the difficulties associated with […]

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No Trump – you are not “number one with Hispanics” in Nevada

Donald Trump won the Republican Nevada caucuses and in his victory speech Tuesday night he bragged about winning “the Hispanics” as he likes to say. He told his crowd of supporters “And you know what I’m really happy about? Number 1 with Hispanics!”  However there are five very important points that have gotten lost in the […]

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