Tag Archives | Latino influence

Minority Political Candidates Just Need a Chance

The following interview was originally published by Michigan State University Today. It’s not necessarily voters who should be blamed for the lack of minorities in state legislatures, but instead the two major political parties for not recruiting enough candidates, indicates new research by Michigan State University scholar Eric Gonzalez Juenke . Professor Gonzalez Juenke analyzed nearly […]

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A Presidential Status Plebiscite for Puerto Rico?

On July 17, 2013 the House Appropriations Committee approved the fiscal year 2014 Commerce, Justice, Science (CJS) Appropriations bill, which included a request by President Barack H. Obama to fund a voter education drive enabling a status plebiscite for Puerto Rico. This measure dismisses several initiatives by Puerto Rican political parties and potentially makes the […]

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Pre-Election Polls Got it Wrong in Florida

Gary Segura recently provided a discussion of how exit polls often misrepresent Latino voters (Badly!), pointing out that exit polls often rely on small samples of Latino likely voters, rarely utilize fully bilingual interviews, and utilize samples that are not reflective of the Hispanic/Latino population in the location being polled. This is the first of […]

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Obama’s Re-election Sets Record Support for Latino Voters

Article originally published at The Nation In his 1996 re-election President Bill Clinton attained 72 percent of the Latino vote, the highest level of Latino support of any presidential candidate—before this year. In 2012, President Obama set a new record, winning his second term in office with the support of 75 percent the Latino electorate. […]

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LD Vote Predict Indicates Latinos Voters Will Support Obama Over Romney by 3 to 1 Margin

While President Obama’s support among Latino voters has fallen slightly from its peak prior to the first debate (week 6 of the tracking poll), effects of a poor debate performance by President Obama have been minimal. Furthermore, we find that any small Romney gains were short-lived. We have seen relative stability over the past four […]

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Romney’s Likely Share of Latino Vote Plummets to 23% Based on LD Vote Predict

It seems that Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney’s hopes of reaching a respectable level of support among Latino voters may be dwindling. The Romney campaign’s own stated target of 38% of the Hispanic vote is shrinking from view according to our latest results. After the GOP convention Mitt Romney’s predicted share reached a peak of 31.6%. […]

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Latino vote pivotal in North Carolina

This blog was originally posted at NBC LATINO It was culture shock when this Arizona gal moved to North Carolina in 2000.  The accent, pace of life, and outright friendliness of Southerners shook me, but what most threw me off was the lack of Mexican food.  For the first years I was in North Carolina, […]

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Growth in Latino enthusiasm and Democratic vote numbers disheartening for the GOP

Week 5 of the ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions 2012 Tracking Poll reveals stabilizing numbers in the Presidential election, growing Latino support in the generic House ballot and—perhaps most importantly for Democratic prospects overall and most disheartening for Republicans—significant growth in Latino enthusiasm for the election. [Download full week 5 results here] Horserace and Congressional Vote We find […]

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Why Hispanic Heritage Month Awareness Really Matters

This article was originally published at NBC LATINO On this eve of Hispanic Heritage Month, I can’t help but feel frustrated. According to a poll released this week by the National Hispanic Media Coalition and Latino Decisions, seven out of every ten non-Latinos believe that Latinos are gang members or criminals. The bad news is […]

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Introducing LD Turnout Predict

This is the first of two posts introducing new models that Latino Decisions will use in predicting Latino voter turnout along with the choice of candidate by those voters who do turn out to vote. We begin with our plan for estimating Latino voter turnout based on the results of our weekly Latino Decisions/impreMedia tracking […]

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