Article originally published at The Nation In his 1996 re-election President Bill Clinton attained 72 percent of the Latino vote, the highest level of Latino support of any presidential candidate—before this year. In 2012, President Obama set a new record, winning his second term in office with the support of 75 percent the Latino electorate. [...]
Tag Archives | General election
ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll provides key insights regarding Latino policy views
Here are a few highlights from the latest release of data from the ImpreMedia-Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll of 5,600 Latino voters conducted during the final days of the campaign. Click here for graphics for the data reported below and the ability to explore differences in responses across key demographic factors. Policy Views of Latino Electorate [...]
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ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll: The 2012 Latino Electorate
ImpreMedia and Latino Decisions will release results from our national election eve poll of 5,600 Latino registered voters the morning of November 6, 2012. The ImpreMedia-Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll was conducted during the final days of the election and will provide exclusive insights into the 2012 Latino electorate including Presidential and Congressional vote choices, issue [...]
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The Context of Immigration Policy in New Mexico Reflects National Trends
The Latino electorate continues to be one of the most intriguing story lines of the 2012 election cycle, with the role of immigration policy in Latino voting behavior dominating discussions of the Latino vote in this critical election. Here at Latino Decisions we have provided in-depth analysis of this relationship, finding that immigration policy is [...]
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LD Vote Predict Indicates Latinos Voters Will Support Obama Over Romney by 3 to 1 Margin
While President Obama’s support among Latino voters has fallen slightly from its peak prior to the first debate (week 6 of the tracking poll), effects of a poor debate performance by President Obama have been minimal. Furthermore, we find that any small Romney gains were short-lived. We have seen relative stability over the past four [...]
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Romney’s Likely Share of Latino Vote Plummets to 23% Based on LD Vote Predict
It seems that Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney’s hopes of reaching a respectable level of support among Latino voters may be dwindling. The Romney campaign’s own stated target of 38% of the Hispanic vote is shrinking from view according to our latest results. After the GOP convention Mitt Romney’s predicted share reached a peak of 31.6%. [...]
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Popular GOP Governor Martinez Disagrees with 47%
As Mitt Romney attempts to move beyond the 47 percent debacle that dominated his campaign last week, the damage control efforts will include reconnecting with several GOP candidates for office who publicly distanced themselves from the comments made in that speech. Among those who have publicly disagreed with the symbolic leader of their party are [...]
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Introducing LD Vote Predict
This is the second of two posts introducing new models that Latino Decisions will use in predicting Latino voter turnout along with the choice of candidate by those voters who do turn out to vote. In a previous post, we laid out a strategy for estimating Latino voter turnout. Here, we introduce and briefly explain [...]
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Can the Republicans Connect With Latinos on Abortion?
This article was originally published at NBC LATINO Abortion is back in the political spotlight. Senate candidate Todd Akin made sure of that in his remarks regarding abortion, rape, and his beliefs on the science of procreation. His comments came just days before the Republican National Committee finalized its convention platform that calls for a [...]
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The State of Play in New Mexico: The Role of 2010 Winners in 2012 Race
New Mexico has historically provided some high drama during presidential elections, and is often referred to as both a bell-weather and swing state. In fact, Al Gore squeaked out a razor thin 366 vote victory in New Mexico during the 2000 election, and in 2004 George W. Bush won by just under 6,000 votes in [...]
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Latino Influence 2012
Latino Decisions and America's Voice Education Fund partnered to produce a dynamic map of Latino influence at the state and national level in the 2012 election. See how Latino voter turnout and party support will pave the way to the White House in November.
