Tag Archives | Florida

Pre-Election Polls Got it Wrong in Florida

Gary Segura recently provided a discussion of how exit polls often misrepresent Latino voters (Badly!), pointing out that exit polls often rely on small samples of Latino likely voters, rarely utilize fully bilingual interviews, and utilize samples that are not reflective of the Hispanic/Latino population in the location being polled. This is the first of […]

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Latinos’ Support for Obama Solid in Florida

With the election less than two weeks away there has been a great deal of speculation about the Latino community’s support for President Obama, particularly in Florida. Most recently, an Interactive Voice Response survey, or “robo-poll,” conducted on October 10-11 by Florida International University showed that 50.7% of Latinos in Florida who identified themselves as […]

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Nominating Marco Rubio Likely Not a Game Changer for Romney in Florida

As we get closer to the Republican National Convention in August in Tampa Bay, FL, speculation grows as to who Mitt Romney will nominate as his candidate for Vice President. Marco Rubio, Cuban American freshman U.S. Senator from Florida, has been a very visible member of the short list of potential nominees. One potential benefit […]

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Support for Obama Appears Solid among Latinos in Florida

A major part of the dialogue on the 2012 presidential election has centered on which candidate will win the hearts and minds of the ever-growing Latino electorate. New survey data collected by Latino Decisions give us a glimpse into how this competition is playing out in the “swing state” of Florida. These data were collected […]

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New Poll: Obama leads Romney among Latinos in key 2012 battleground states

New polling released June 22, 2012 by Latino Decisions and America’s Voice finds President Obama maintaining a wide lead over Republican Mitt Romney among Latino registered voters in five key battleground states.  The poll interviewed 400 Latinos each in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Nevada and Virginia – all states expected to be very competitive in 2012 […]

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Efforts to Clean Up Registration Rolls Target Latinos in Swing State of Florida

Officials in the “swing” State of Florida have made waves amidst efforts to purge non-citizens from the registration rolls ahead of the up-coming 2012 presidential election. As ordered by Republican Governor Rick Scott earlier this spring, the Florida secretary of state’s office began comparing voter registration records to Florida Department of Motor Vehicles data on […]

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Univision-ABC-Latino Decisions Poll Accurately Predicted Florida Latino Vote for Romney

A poll conducted by Latino Decisions for Univision News and ABC News and released January 25, 2012 accurately predicted Mitt Romney would hold more than a 20-point lead among Latino Republicans in Florida, and exit polls released January 31, 2012 confirmed Romney bested Gingrich by more than 20 points.  Two other polls released on Monday […]

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The 3 Latino Electorates Within Florida and How they Differ

With all the newfound interest in the Latino vote in Florida almost all coverage has missed an interesting and very important nuance – there is not one single Latino electorate in Florida, but rather, at least three distinct blocs. In order to best understand Latino preferences in the Sunshine state on Tuesday, and more so […]

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Gingrich Latino Puzzle

This article was originally published at NBC Latino Judging by the more than 400 “likes” on Newt Gingrich – Para Latinos Facebook, Newt Gingrich should do well with Latinos in the Florida primary this coming Tuesday. By contrast, Mitt Romney only has a dozen or so “likes” on his page.  But Facebook popularity does not […]

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Latino Decisions/Univision/ABC releases new poll on voters in Florida, and nationally

In partnership with Univision News and ABC News, Latino Decisions has released two new polls of the Latino electorate and the 2012 presidential contest. The polls interviewed 500 Latino registered voters nationally, and a second poll of 500 Latino registered voters in the state of Florida. Full results are posted here. Latino Decisions asked vote […]

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