Tracking Poll Wave 2: Romney gains among Latinos post-convention

After a week in the spotlight in which many prominent Latinos took to the stage at the RNC Convention, the impreMedia/Latino Decisions tracking poll finds a noticeable bump in support for Romney and Republicans among Latinos, as reported by Pilar Marrero.  The question will be can they sustain it, or will the new found support erode […]

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Mitt Romney’s Magic Number

Mitt Romney’s campaign has identified 38% as the “magic number” of Latino voters they need to secure victory over President Obama in the November election.  This seems rather ambitious; John McCain earned 31% of the Latino vote in 2008, and Romney stands at a mere 26% ten weeks before the election. In light of the […]

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Introducing LD Turnout Predict

This is the first of two posts introducing new models that Latino Decisions will use in predicting Latino voter turnout along with the choice of candidate by those voters who do turn out to vote. We begin with our plan for estimating Latino voter turnout based on the results of our weekly Latino Decisions/impreMedia tracking […]

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Tracking Poll Wave 1: Latino vote uphill climb for Romney

By Pilar Marrero, impreMedia Just before the beginning of the Republican National Convention in Tampa presidential candidate Mitt Romney continues to overwhelmingly lose the Latino vote and has low levels of favorability among the majority of the Latino electorate. The first weekly tracking poll of Latino registered voters by Latino Decisions and impreMedia reveals that […]

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Can the Republicans Connect With Latinos on Abortion?

This article was originally published at NBC LATINO Abortion is back in the political spotlight.  Senate candidate Todd Akin made sure of that in his remarks regarding abortion, rape, and his beliefs on the science of procreation.  His comments came just days before the Republican National Committee finalized its convention platform that calls for a […]

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The Latino Vote and Down Ticket Races in Nevada

While presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s anemic support among Latinos is likely to weaken his prospects in states with large or emerging Latino voting populations, it is less clear whether his unpopularity among Latinos will spill-over to down ticket races; an issue of particular import for Republican candidates running in competitive House and Senate […]

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New 2012 voter registration numbers highlight potential of Latino vote in 9 key states

New analysis of state voter registration counts by Latino Decisions reveals strong growth in Latino registered voters across the 50 states.  In July, Ruy Teixeira and William Frey first analyzed the May 2012 Census data, and found that steady increases in the Latino citizen voting age population (CVAP) could decide five key battleground states in 2012.  Taking the […]

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Paul Ryan, the national debt and the Latino vote

With the announcement that Wisconsin congressman Paul Ryan will be Mitt Romney’s vice presidential nominee everyone is wondering if and how this will change voter opinion, including among Latino voters.  As a starting point, I think it is safe to say that Paul Ryan is virtually unknown in the Latino community.  Less than 4% of […]

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The Florida Latino Electorate and a Potential Rubio Nomination

Florida is rich in electoral votes, party competition, and ethnic diversity, making it one of the most interesting states to watch during presidential elections. Republican Senator Marco Rubio adds yet another compelling element to the state political narrative during this election cycle.  Frequently mentioned as a potential running mate for Governor Mitt Romney, Rubio could […]

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Latino Stars Make It Interesting in Texas

Two Latinos in Texas took center stage in national party politics this Tuesday. The day began a with a press release announcing San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro will deliver the keynote address at the Democratic National Convention later this month. He will be the first Latino to make the limelight speech in the history of […]

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