LD Vote Predict Indicates Latinos Voters Will Support Obama Over Romney by 3 to 1 Margin

While President Obama’s support among Latino voters has fallen slightly from its peak prior to the first debate (week 6 of the tracking poll), effects of a poor debate performance by President Obama have been minimal. Furthermore, we find that any small Romney gains were short-lived. We have seen relative stability over the past four […]

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Why Pollsters Missed the Latino Vote – 2012 edition

In 1998 Harry Pachon and Rudy de la Garza wrote a report for the Tomas Rivera Policy Institute titled “Why Pollsters Missed the Latino Vote – Again!” in which they argued that polls across California failed to accurately account for Latino voters in their samples, and that pre-election polls statewide were fraught with errors as […]

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Latino voters highly engaged in presidential election, support for Obama rises

The impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll latest results reveal a high level of interest and engagement by Latino voters in the upcoming congressional and presidential elections. [ Full wave 9 results here ] More than three-fourths of all respondents said they have talked with friends or family members about candidates, issues or other election topics in […]

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Latino voters in Colorado care deeply about protecting water, air from potential oil shale development

Colorado has become one of the most contested states in 2012, and Michael Bennet’s 2010 Senate win came by less than 30,000 votes.  Latino voters – at an estimated 12% of the electorate – have become one of the most crucial voting blocs. Today, Latino Decisions releases new poll results on behalf of Nuestro Rio […]

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New Poll From Latino Decisions Indicates That Immigration Matters to Hispanic Voters in New Mexico

Hispanic voters comprise nearly 40% of the electorate in the state of New Mexico, making New Mexico the state where Latino voters have the greatest influence on the election outcomes. Consequently, many have suggested that New Mexico may provide a glimpse into the future of Latino politics nationally. This context makes New Mexico important even […]

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Enthusiasm High among Colorado Latinos—Is it time for a new Latino voter impact narrative?

The Latino vote will help determine the presidential election.  If one is not convinced, playing around with the Latino Decisions’ Latino Vote Map for a few of the battleground states with a sizeable Latino population ought to change your mind.  The basic equation for each state is quite simple: the marginal (dis)advantage for one of […]

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Why the Latino vote may tilt Virginia blue in 2012

According to the Real Clear Politics average of polls in Virginia, Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 48.4 to 47.6, a gap of less than 1%.  In the race for U.S. Senate the most recent poll gives Tim Kaine a 48 to 47 lead over George Allen.  With two critical elections both separated by just 1 […]

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Obama slightly down among Latinos post-debate but Romney stuck in low 20s

ImpreMedia & Latino Decisions released the latest in a series of tracking polls today revealing support for President Obama slipped from 72% last week to 67% this week, suggesting that his debate performance also led some Latino voters to re-evaluate the President. Those who said they are certain to vote for Romney increased slightly from […]

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New Poll from Latino Decisions Reveals that Immigration is Important Issue to Colorado’s Latino Voters

Just as was the case in 2008, the state of Colorado has become a central focus of the presidential race. After recently playing host to the first debate, both the Romney and Obama campaigns have an eye on Latino voters in particular in the key battleground state. The state of Colorado has seen a tremendous […]

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The Impact of SB1070 on the 2012 Latino Vote in Arizona

The last Democratic candidate who won Arizona’s Electoral College votes was Bill Clinton in his bid for re-election in 1996 when Arizona had 8 Electoral College votes. Heading into the 2012 election, Arizona will have 11 Electoral College votes to cast. Like many states in the South and West, Arizona has seen its share of […]

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