Latino Tracking Poll Week 6: Clinton 74 – Trump 15

The Latino Decisions weekly tracking poll in partnership with NALEO and Telemundo Noticias is out for October 24, 2016 and shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 74% to 15% (+59).  At this exact same point in 2012, the weekly tracking poll showed Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 71% to 20% (+51).  Back in 2012, 40% […]

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Florida Latinos voting for Hillary Clinton by wide margins

The 2016 presidential election marks a turning in the history of Latino politics in Florida. According to the latest battleground poll by the National Association of Latino Elected Officials (NALEO) and Latino Decisions, the majority of Florida’s Latino voters are backing the Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton, by wide margins. In the poll, Latinos were asked […]

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Expert Opinions: What constitutes a good vs. bad Latino poll

During a webinar and telephonic briefing discussion hosted by NCLR yesterday, experts on political polling and Latino voters analyzed how the national exit polls and many polls throughout the election cycle consistently miss the mark when it comes to Latino voters – and discussed why that is problematic for good post-election analysis and resultant political […]

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Policy Issues Driving the 2016 Latino Vote

Since the launch five weeks ago of the NALEO Educational Fund/Noticias Telemundo/Latino Decisions tracking poll, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has enjoyed a commanding lead among Latino voters. In the first week she led by 53 points (71 percent for Clinton vs 18 percent favoring Trump). By week three, her lead had grown to 57 […]

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Latino voters say Democrats Are Mobilizing them to Vote by 3-1 margin

There are an estimated 27 million Latinos eligible to vote in 2016. While Latinos constitute about 11 percent of the national electorate, their share significantly increases in battleground states such as Arizona (22 percent of the electorate), Colorado (14.5 percent), Florida (18 percent), Nevada (17 percent), New Mexico (40 percent) and Texas (28 percent). The […]

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LD Vote Predict 2016: Latino Voters Poised to Cast Most Lopsided Presidential Vote on Record

LD Vote Predict: 82% Clinton, 15% Trump, 3% other candidates (+/– 5.5%) In 2012 we unveiled our statistical model predicting election day vote called LD Vote Predict, which proved to be extremely accurate.  Using the same hierarchical Bayesian model we now turn to our 2016 tracking poll to estimate election day vote choice for Clinton v. […]

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Latina Voters Say Adiós To Trump

Donald Trump’s ongoing derogatory remarks toward women have generated widespread criticism. Not only did he recently say that Hillary Clinton did not have “a presidential look,” but in the first presidential debate Clinton reminded viewers that Trump demeaned Alicia Machado, the Venezuelan Miss Universe, as “Miss Piggy” and “Miss Housekeeping.” These and other degrading remarks […]

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Latino Millennial Voters and Democratic Candidate Support

Much has been made in this election about Hillary Clinton’s struggle to win over millennial voters. Indeed, some have speculated that Hillary Clinton could lose the election because millennials don’t like her and their votes may prove decisive. It’s true that the millennial generation now constitutes a larger share of the population than Baby Boomers […]

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Latino Voters are more partisan and energized in 2016 than in 2012

This week, in collaboration with the National Association of Latino Elected Officials Education Fund and Telemundo Noticias, Latino Decisions launched its 2016 weekly tracking poll of the Latino electorate. We conducted a similar tracking poll during the 2012 presidential election and included many of the same questions again this year. Because this is the first […]

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Announcing the 2016 Latino Tracking Poll – Week 1

Today Latino Decisions released the first wave of the 2016 election weekly tracking poll in partnership with NALEO and Noticias Telemundo.  The poll will continue for 8 weekly installments every Monday through the day before Election Day and will track Latino vote choice, enthusiasm, evaluations of party outreach to Latinos, the most important issues, and […]

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