Latino Decisions Blog

Category: State Poll

Democrats Crush Republicans Among Latino and Asian American Voters in Virginia

With polls closed across the Commonwealth of Virginia, Latino Decisions can release the results of our 2013 Virginia Election Eve Survey of Latino and Asian American voters, commissioned by America’s…

First Installment of New Poll Shows Virginia is Test Case for GOP

Washington, DC – With Election Day in Virginia today and the gubernatorial candidates’ positioning on immigration reform on stark display, a new election-eve poll, sponsored by America’s Voice, People for…

Anti-Immigrant Politics and Lessons for the GOP from California

According to polling data from the Field Poll, after winning the presidential election in 1980, California native Ronald Reagan raised his share of the Latino vote from 35 percent to…

Texas Immigration Politics: Enforcement First, Outreach Later?

Earlier this week a bipartisan group of eight senators announced their preliminary plans for comprehensive immigration reform (CIR) legislation. Neither senator from Texas is among the coalition of legislators leading…

A Path Forward for the GOP in Nevada?

In the wake of the 2012 election, there has been a good deal of hand-wringing among Republicans in response to their party’s dismal showing among Latinos.  In no state was…

The Sea-Change in Colorado

A month seems like an appropriate time to reflect on the outcome of Colorado’s 2012 general election and the role of Latino voters in both the Presidential and state-level contests. …

Nevada’s Odd Numbers: The Complexity of Polling in the Silver State

In the past three electoral cycles Nevada has commanded significant national attention due to the state’s status as both a presidential and congressional battleground state.  Yet, despite the Silver State’s…

Pre-Election Polls Got it Wrong in Florida

Gary Segura recently provided a discussion of how exit polls often misrepresent Latino voters (Badly!), pointing out that exit polls often rely on small samples of Latino likely voters, rarely…

impreMedia-Latino Decisions election eve poll now posted for 5 states – show very large vote for Obama

impreMedia and Latino Decisions have now released polling data of Latino voters in 5 eastern states with influential Latino voting populations: Florida, Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina and Massachusetts.  Full results…

The Context of Immigration Policy in New Mexico Reflects National Trends

The Latino electorate continues to be one of the most intriguing story lines of the 2012 election cycle, with the role of immigration policy in Latino voting behavior dominating discussions…

Latino voters in Colorado care deeply about protecting water, air from potential oil shale development

Colorado has become one of the most contested states in 2012, and Michael Bennet’s 2010 Senate win came by less than 30,000 votes.  Latino voters – at an estimated 12%…

New Poll From Latino Decisions Indicates That Immigration Matters to Hispanic Voters in New Mexico

Hispanic voters comprise nearly 40% of the electorate in the state of New Mexico, making New Mexico the state where Latino voters have the greatest influence on the election outcomes….

Enthusiasm High among Colorado Latinos—Is it time for a new Latino voter impact narrative?

The Latino vote will help determine the presidential election.  If one is not convinced, playing around with the Latino Decisions’ Latino Vote Map for a few of the battleground states…

Why the Latino vote may tilt Virginia blue in 2012

According to the Real Clear Politics average of polls in Virginia, Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 48.4 to 47.6, a gap of less than 1%.  In the race for U.S….

New Poll from Latino Decisions Reveals that Immigration is Important Issue to Colorado’s Latino Voters

Just as was the case in 2008, the state of Colorado has become a central focus of the presidential race. After recently playing host to the first debate, both the…

The Impact of SB1070 on the 2012 Latino Vote in Arizona

The last Democratic candidate who won Arizona’s Electoral College votes was Bill Clinton in his bid for re-election in 1996 when Arizona had 8 Electoral College votes. Heading into the…

Demographic Change and Partisan Gain in Nevada

As the 2012 election moves into its final month, Nevada looms large in most Electoral College prognostications regarding the presidential race and the outcome of the state’s United States Senate…

Latino vote pivotal in North Carolina

This blog was originally posted at NBC LATINO It was culture shock when this Arizona gal moved to North Carolina in 2000.  The accent, pace of life, and outright friendliness…

Nominating Marco Rubio Likely Not a Game Changer for Romney in Florida

As we get closer to the Republican National Convention in August in Tampa Bay, FL, speculation grows as to who Mitt Romney will nominate as his candidate for Vice President….

Support for Obama Appears Solid among Latinos in Florida

A major part of the dialogue on the 2012 presidential election has centered on which candidate will win the hearts and minds of the ever-growing Latino electorate. New survey data…