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Why the Latino vote may tilt Virginia blue in 2012

According to the Real Clear Politics average of polls in Virginia, Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 48.4 to 47.6, a gap of less than 1%.  In the race for U.S. Senate the most recent poll gives Tim Kaine a 48 to 47 lead over George Allen.  With two critical elections both separated by just 1 […]

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Obama slightly down among Latinos post-debate but Romney stuck in low 20s

ImpreMedia & Latino Decisions released the latest in a series of tracking polls today revealing support for President Obama slipped from 72% last week to 67% this week, suggesting that his debate performance also led some Latino voters to re-evaluate the President. Those who said they are certain to vote for Romney increased slightly from […]

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Why Arizona may be the surprise of 2012 – the big Latino vote that you didn’t see coming

In 2010, the average of 16 polls of likely voters in Nevada suggested Sharon Angle had a firm 3 point lead, and 538’s Nate Silver gave her an 83.4% chance of winning.  On election night, the results showed Harry Reid with a 5 point win — an 8 point difference from the poll averages.  Why the […]

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Republicans fail to improve their image among Latinos, but have opportunity on education

The latest impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll released today revealed a continued trend in support for President Obama, and increased dissatisfaction with Republican outreach towards Latino voters, with a possible opening for Romney on his education plan. [Full week 7 results posted here] Overall, seventy-two percent of Latino voters said that if the election were held […]

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Demographic Change and Partisan Gain in Nevada

As the 2012 election moves into its final month, Nevada looms large in most Electoral College prognostications regarding the presidential race and the outcome of the state’s United States Senate race between Democrat Shelley Berkley and Republican Dean Heller may determine partisan control of the upper chamber during the 113th Congress. The fact that Nevada […]

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Romney’s Likely Share of Latino Vote Plummets to 23% Based on LD Vote Predict

It seems that Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney’s hopes of reaching a respectable level of support among Latino voters may be dwindling. The Romney campaign’s own stated target of 38% of the Hispanic vote is shrinking from view according to our latest results. After the GOP convention Mitt Romney’s predicted share reached a peak of 31.6%. […]

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Wave 6 Tracking Poll: Obama widens lead nationally, Romney closer in battleground states

This week’s impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll found slight gains for presidential candidate Mitt Romney in battleground states with 33% certain to or thinking about voting for him. However, the over national polling data shows the strongest week to date for President Obama and the Democrats, with noticeable gains over last week’s poll. [Full wave 6 […]

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Popular GOP Governor Martinez Disagrees with 47%

As Mitt Romney attempts to move beyond the 47 percent debacle that dominated his campaign last week, the damage control efforts will include reconnecting with several GOP candidates for office who publicly distanced themselves from the comments made in that speech. Among those who have publicly disagreed with the symbolic leader of their party are […]

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Growth in Latino enthusiasm and Democratic vote numbers disheartening for the GOP

Week 5 of the ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions 2012 Tracking Poll reveals stabilizing numbers in the Presidential election, growing Latino support in the generic House ballot and—perhaps most importantly for Democratic prospects overall and most disheartening for Republicans—significant growth in Latino enthusiasm for the election. [Download full week 5 results here] Horserace and Congressional Vote We find […]

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The Latino gender gap: Latina voters prefer Obama by 53 point margin

With seven weeks until the election Republican candidate Mitt Romney’s potential gender gap with women faces a new hurdle in the Latino community, as reported today by Pilar Marrero.  According to the fourth week of the impreMedia/Latino Decisions tracking poll Latina voters plan to vote for President Obama by a margin of 74% to 21% […]

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