Latino Decisions Blog

Category: Election analysis

18 Senate and Governor races Latinos could influence in 2014

The 2014 election is now just 8 days away and almost all the attention on the Latino vote is in Colorado’s Senate race.  While other states with large Latino populations…

Playing the Environmental Card: A Winning Strategy for Mobilizing Latinos in 2014

Heading into the 2014 midterm election, President Obama faced an opportunity with Latino voters.  If he issued an executive order on immigration, Latino voters would be very enthusiastic about turning…

LD Weighs in on Noticias Univision.com: Latino Influence and Political Paradox

The new America’s Voice – Latino Decisions pre-electoral poll is the basis for the latest LD column by David R. Ayón, published on the Univision news website.  This column, titled “El Poder de los…

NEW POLL: Latino Voters on Midterm Elections, Immigration, and 2016 Presidential Contenders

Washington, DC – On a press call/webinar today, Matt Barreto, Co-Founder of Latino Decisions, and Frank Sharry, Executive Director of America’s Voice, discussed the results of a new nationwide poll of…

Seriously flawed Latino polling in Georgia leads to wildly incorrect speculation

This piece was originally posted at HuffPost Pollster, October 6, 2014 Georgia has more than 900,000 Latinos and more than 270,000 Latinos eligible to vote in 2014.  For good reason, analysts have…

Previewing the 2014 Latino Electorate

At its Washington national headquarters Monday, the National Council of La Raza (NCLR) hosted a 2014 midterm election preview for the national media that featured panelists Matt Barreto and Gary…

Paying for an Unkept Promise: LD Column on Noticias.Univision.com

The latest Latino Decisions column by David R. Ayón published on the Univision news website this week examines how Latino voters, leaders, and organizations might respond to President Obama’s decision to…

Did Dems miss an opportunity for Latino mobilization?

On June 30, 2014 president Obama announced that if Congress did not pass comprehensive immigration reform that he would implement an administrative order providing temporary legal status to millions of…

LD column at NoticiasUnivision.com: Moment of Truth for Obama & Democrats

The latest Latino Decisions column published on the Univision television network news website Noticias.Univision.com, written by Senior Strategist David R. Ayón highlights the mounting chorus of criticism that President Obama has been subjected to…

Reviewing the Evidence Part 2: CIR Failure and Political Fallout

President Obama’s comments to the press yesterday provided a strong signal that changes to immigration administration and enforcement via executive actions are imminent. It is important to remember that Congressional…

The Method Matters: Evidence from Latino Voter Turnout Experiments

A common belief inside campaigns is that lower propensity voters just won’t show up in a midterm election. This thinking is misguided and only serves to create a cycle in…

Blowback: Why Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric and Ads Hurt the Republican Party

As congressional lawmakers return home for the summer recess and campaign for the upcoming mid-term election, Republicans believe immigration is an issue they can use to mobilize their base. Specifically,…

How to Get Out the Latino Vote: Evidence from Field Experiments

During midterm elections, Latino voter turnout is known to lag below that of other racial groups in the United States, despite a growing population. In 2010 the census estimates Latino…

HR 5230 and HR 5272: Making a Bad Situation Worse and What It Means for November and Beyond

Last Friday, after months of foot-dragging and increasingly bizarre explanations to justify their inaction, Republican congressional leaders finally allowed legislation addressing immigration policy to be brought to the House floor…

Ayón analysis on Obama administrative relief on immigration

Latino Decisions now provides a regular column in Spanish to the Univision television network news website Noticias.Univision.com, written by Latino Decisions Senior Strategist, David R. Ayón.  The latest column, published…

Latino Voters Strongly Reject House Republican Proposal on Border Crisis

On the last day before summer recess, House Republicans failed to address the humanitarian crisis at the border and the broken immigration system, which triggered it.  Instead, the bill they…

Executive Action on Immigration and Democratic House Incumbents 2014 Prospects

In a prior post, I drew on new polling conducted by Latino Decisions on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund examining Latino voters’ attitudes towards executive action…

Democrats and the Politics of Executive Action on Immigration

Reports that the House Republican leadership will not consider immigration legislation during the present Congress once again raises the prospects that President Obama will take executive action on immigration. Recent…

New Poll: Latino Voter Views on President Obama Using His Executive Authority on Immigration

New polling of Latino voters conducted by Latino Decisions for the Center for American Progress Action Fund shows that Democrats stand to gain from the president using his broad executive…

Latino Voters in Colorado: Electoral Influence and Immigration Politics

Home to one of the fastest growing Latino electorates in the country, Colorado is set to steal the national spotlight in House, Senate and Gubernatorial races this November with immigration…