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Reviewing the Evidence Part 2: CIR Failure and Political Fallout

President Obama’s comments to the press yesterday provided a strong signal that changes to immigration administration and enforcement via executive actions are imminent. It is important to remember that Congressional failure to pass immigration reform is the sole reason President Obama is now poised to take such actions.  In Part 2 of our series “Reviewing […]

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The Method Matters: Evidence from Latino Voter Turnout Experiments

A common belief inside campaigns is that lower propensity voters just won’t show up in a midterm election. This thinking is misguided and only serves to create a cycle in which campaigns fail to reach out to voters who are most in need of outreach. Previous field experiments have demonstrated repeatedly that low-propensity Latino voters […]

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Blowback: Why Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric and Ads Hurt the Republican Party

As congressional lawmakers return home for the summer recess and campaign for the upcoming mid-term election, Republicans believe immigration is an issue they can use to mobilize their base. Specifically, many are calculating that voters are frustrated with the present crisis at the border and will respond positively to rhetoric that is tough on immigration. […]

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How to Get Out the Latino Vote: Evidence from Field Experiments

During midterm elections, Latino voter turnout is known to lag below that of other racial groups in the United States, despite a growing population. In 2010 the census estimates Latino turnout was 61% among registered voters, compared to 70% turnout for the population as a whole. In contrast, Latino turnout had surged to a high […]

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HR 5230 and HR 5272: Making a Bad Situation Worse and What It Means for November and Beyond

Last Friday, after months of foot-dragging and increasingly bizarre explanations to justify their inaction, Republican congressional leaders finally allowed legislation addressing immigration policy to be brought to the House floor for consideration. For those holding out hope that the House would act on comprehensive immigration reform before slinking away for a five-week recess, Friday night’s […]

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Ayón analysis on Obama administrative relief on immigration

Latino Decisions now provides a regular column in Spanish to the Univision television network news website Noticias.Univision.com, written by Latino Decisions Senior Strategist, David R. Ayón.  The latest column, published on July 31, notes how Latino voters responded to DACA (Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals) in the presidential election of 2012, confirmed by the poll […]

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Latino Voters Strongly Reject House Republican Proposal on Border Crisis

On the last day before summer recess, House Republicans failed to address the humanitarian crisis at the border and the broken immigration system, which triggered it.  Instead, the bill they support, just a few months before the midterm election, is a signal that the GOP has turned its back on Latino voters.  A projected analysis of […]

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Executive Action on Immigration and Democratic House Incumbents 2014 Prospects

In a prior post, I drew on new polling conducted by Latino Decisions on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund examining Latino voters’ attitudes towards executive action on immigration to consider how such action might affect the political context moving into the 2014 elections. The analysis suggests that the House Republicans’ decision […]

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Democrats and the Politics of Executive Action on Immigration

Reports that the House Republican leadership will not consider immigration legislation during the present Congress once again raises the prospects that President Obama will take executive action on immigration. Recent polling conducted by Latino Decisions for the Center for American Progress Action Fund suggests that executive action on immigration could help to offset some of […]

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New Poll: Latino Voter Views on President Obama Using His Executive Authority on Immigration

New polling of Latino voters conducted by Latino Decisions for the Center for American Progress Action Fund shows that Democrats stand to gain from the president using his broad executive authority to grant the immigrant community a measure of relief after House Republicans failed to pass immigration reform. TOPLINES HERE, and SLIDES HERE. Center for […]

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