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The Latino Gender Gap in U.S. Politics

Women and Latinos in the U.S. are both attracting a lot of political attention, especially after their impressive electoral impact in the last few elections.  We hear about the potential “Women’s vote” or the mention of the important gender gap in U.S. politics, which is the difference between men and women’s support for the winning […]

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Latino Principles of Immigration Reform

Since the record defeat that Republicans suffered among Latino voters in 2012, prominent GOP voices have lined up to encourage their party to do a better job reaching out to Hispanics. John McCain, Jeb Bush, Karl Rove, Lindsey Graham, Paul Ryan and in the last two weeks John Boehner and even Rand Paul have all […]

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Hard data from primary proves the San Diego UT/Survey USA Poll is flawed

The best way to assess how accurate current polls in the San Diego mayoral race are is to look at their past performance and compare to actual election outcomes.  This is the same technique that 538 polling guru Nate Silver uses to assigns accuracy weights to different polling companies.  New data analysis of the November […]

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President Obama’s SOTU Proposals on Climate Change Resonate With Latinos

On Tuesday night, President Obama delivered the annual State of the Union Address.  When covering Latino reactions, the media is likely to focus on the President’s statements on immigration.  However, according to findings of a recent national survey of 805 Latino registered voters by Latino Decisions and the Natural Resources Defense Council, Latinos are deeply […]

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New poll: Latino vote will be critical factor in San Diego mayoral election

A new poll released today by Latino Decisions and the Latino Victory Project challenges previous polls in the San Diego mayoral and shows David Alvarez with a commanding lead over Kevin Faulconer among Latino voters who represent 1 in 5 San Diego voters.  Among likely Latino voters, Alvarez was favored by a margin of 75% […]

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Narrow Margin in Virginia Signals Asian and Latino Influence, Virginia DREAM Act and GOP Fate Hang in the Balance

Latino Decisions election eve polling shows 66% of Hispanics and 63% of Asian Americans voted for Governor-Elect Terry McAuliffe. More specifically, an estimated 95,500 Hispanic and 51,000 Asian-Americans voted in the Virginia election, meaning that Asian and Hispanic voters provided a combined 95,160 votes for McAuliffe, contributing heavily to his slim 56,494 victory margin. As […]

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The Prop 187 Effect: How the California GOP lost their way and implications for 2014 and beyond

According to polling data from the California Field Poll, after winning the presidential election in 1980, former California Governor Ronald Reagan raised his share of the Latino vote from 35% to 45% in 1984 while carrying 59% of the entire state.  Republicans went on to win the Golden state again in 1988. Since that election, […]

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Anti-Immigrant Politics and Lessons for the GOP from California

According to polling data from the Field Poll, after winning the presidential election in 1980, California native Ronald Reagan raised his share of the Latino vote from 35 percent to 45 percent in 1984 while carrying 59 percent of the entire state.  Republicans went on to win the Golden state again in 1988. Since then, […]

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What the GOP Can Learn from Nevada Republicans

As the GOP continues to struggle with its “Latino problem,” Republicans might look to Nevada for a constructive example of how some of their co-partisans are responding to the country’s changing political demography. Indeed, Nevada is very much a case study of how migration, urbanization, and generational replacement are rapidly reshaping the electorate with the […]

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Are Latinos Relevant to Midterm Elections?

A similar post appeared on NBC Latino The day after the 2012 presidential election pundits across the country declared Latino voters as one of the most important voting blocs in re-electing President Barack Obama.  With the 2014 midterms already in sight, many are asking if Latino voters will once again be a critical electorate. Recently, […]

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