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Loretta Sanchez and the Growth of Latino Political Power in California

In the next few days, Democratic Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez is likely to announce her candidacy for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Barbara Boxer. This will widely be seen as a positive development by Latinos who are eager to bolster their political power. Indeed, the political ascension of Loretta Sanchez parallels the rise of […]

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So Goes Colorado…

In a recent article in the Los Angeles Times Mark Barabak examined the importance of the Mountain West, particularly Colorado, to Barack Obama’s 2008 and 2012 victories. Echoing many of the themes detailed in America’s New Swing Region, Barabak noted that the Democrats’ recent gains have served to shift a region that was long a […]

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Where Did All the Latino Voters Go in 2014? The Case of Nevada

In 2004 John Judis and Ruy Teixeria wrote The Emerging Democratic Majority in which they argued that changing demographics were reshaping the country’s political geography in a manner that would help the Democrats win in states where just a decade before the party rarely competed. The data in Figure 1 summarizing the racial and ethnic […]

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Missed Opportunities: Assessing Latino Turnout in 2014

Across the board voter turnout was down in 2014. In 2010 about 91 million votes were cast and turnout among the voting eligible population was 41.8 percent. Four years later only 81 million peopled voted for a turnout rate of 35.9 percent according to data collected by Professor Michael McDonald. Looking at Democratic losses in […]

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Black-Brown Tensions in California’s 2016 Senate Race? Don’t Believe The Hype

Horserace analogies are frequently used to describe political campaigns. However, if a Latino Democrat emerges in the 2016 Senate race, a boxing metaphor is likely to be used. The anticipated bout may pit Kamala Harris and her African American supporters against a Latino candidate with his or her co-ethnic supporters. A recent story bore the […]

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Latino Influence in the 2014 House Elections: Part II

In a prior post I examined what occurred in the 24 Republican held tier one and tier two Latino Influence House Districts during the 2014 elections. My analysis revealed that while there were a number of potentially competitive districts, the Democrats’ inability to recruit and fund quality challengers resulted in a number of Republicans who […]

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Immigration Politics At Center Stage

This week, immigration politics again moved to the forefront of the national conversation. The week began with director Alejandro Gonzalez Iñarritu calling for immigrants to be treated with dignity and respect in his speech at Sunday night’s Oscars broadcast. Midweek, President Obama declared his intent to appeal federal judge Andrew Hanen’s ruling that enjoined the president’s […]

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Latino Influence in the 2014 House Elections: Part I

During the 2014 election cycle Latino Decisions identified US House districts where Latino voters were positioned to be influential.  Specifically, we considered districts where the 2010 Latino voting age population either exceeds or approaches the 2012 House margin of victory, as well as seats won by the opposition party’s presidential candidate. Depending upon these factors, […]

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Latino Influence & the Politics of Immigration in the 2014 U.S. Senate Elections

To date, much of the evidence suggestive of Latino electoral influence has focused on statewide races, particularly presidential elections in swing states such as Florida, Colorado, and Nevada. However, with no presidential election on the ballot in 2014, the ability of Latino voters, and by extension the politics of immigration, to affect statewide federal races […]

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An Overview of Latino Influence in the 2014 Elections

In the aftermath of the 2012 election, political observers and pundits of all political stripes contended that the support of Latino voters was pivotal to President Obama’s victory over Mitt Romney. Indeed, the 2012 ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions Election Eve poll reported that Obama received the support of 75% of Latino voters as compared to 23% for […]

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