Latino Decisions Blog

Category: 2010 Polls/Elections

How the Exit Polls Misrepresent Latino Voters, and Badly

Did you know that, despite running exceedingly racialized anti-Latino advertisements in Nevada’s Senate race, Sharon Angle got 30% of the Latino vote? Jan Brewer also did well, attracting an above-average…

The GOP is Sleepwalking Through the DREAM Act

The 2010 election has lulled the GOP into its own dream act. In a year in which GOP congressional candidates benefited profoundly from the slumping economy and an anti-incumbent populist…

Latino Decisions tracking poll post-election panel discredits National Exit Poll

Latino Decisions interview 1,870 Latino registered voters nationwide across 13 weeks, beginning August 9 and ending on October 28. In the weeks after the election, we attempted to re-contact those…

Proving the exit polls wrong 2: Jan Brewer did not win 28% of the Latino vote

A few weeks ago we posted very strong evidence that the national exit poll data for Latinos in Nevada were horribly wrong. Today, we visit the state of Arizona, and…

Proving the exit polls wrong – Harry Reid did win over 90% of the Latino vote

The pre-election analysis of polls by Nate Silver at 538 proved accurate in predicting 34 of 37 elections for the U.S. Senate. The three states that were off were Alaska,…

How the National Exit Poll Badly Missed the Latino Vote in 2010

By: Gary Segura & Matt Barreto Latino Decisions estimates differ significantly from the network exit polls and this raises the question of whether we, or they, have a systematic flaw…

Final Latino Decisions Tracking Poll Shows Dems Winning Latino Vote

After 11 weeks of interviewing, our fall tracking poll comes to an end with this, the 10th Wave Report. Note, however, that the Latino Decisions Track will continue in 2011,…

The Immigrant Vote in California

Latino and Asian Americans are an important part of the American electorate, and this is perhaps most so in California, where the two groups account for nearly one third of…

Latino Decisions announces election eve poll in 8 states

Latino Decisions is partnering with the National Council of La Raza, SEIU, and America’s Voice to conduct an election eve poll of Latino voters in eight key states: California, Nevada,…

Latino likely voters favor Dems – 2008 surge voters show lower enthusiasm

With one week to go before the 2010 midterm election, the Latino Decisions tracking poll takes a closer look at who constitutes likely voters in 2010. Likely voter models are…

How to measure Latino influence: a new quantitative model

By: Matt Barreto, Loren Collingwood, Sylvia Manzano The importance of the Latino electorate has been the subject of both academic inquiry and media discourses. The question of Latino influence is…

Hispanic Vote will decide next Governor of New Mexico

By Gabriel Sanchez, Jillian Medeiros and Vickie Ybarra, University of New Mexico With less than three weeks to go before the mid-term elections the outcome of several important races will…

Despite large lead, Dem vote choice still underperforms Democratic partisanship

With little more than two weeks to go until the November election, the most apparent characteristic of this week’s track is stability. Latinos prefer Democratic candidates to Republican candidates, 59.0%…

Is the Latino enthusiasm gap closing? Latest LD tracking poll…

With three weeks to go until election day the Latino Decisions tracking poll reports the first signs of increasing enthusiasm and vote intention among Latino registered voters in 2010. Last…

4 weeks until election, economy and immigration still top issues for Latinos

It has been a very busy week since our last post. The issue of immigration jumped back into the spotlight as the Whitman housekeeper saga unfolded (over days), California’s gubernatorial…

Are Latino immigrant voters in California still undecided?

Last Monday the Los Angeles Times reported Latino voters favor Democrat Jerry Brown over Republican Meg Whitman by a wide margin. Despite a preference for Brown, data from Latino Decisions…

Latinos are From Mars, Latinas are from Venus – in Politics too!

The bestselling book, Men are from Mars, Women are from Venus, is about the myriad emotional and romantic differences between the two sexes. Politics was not covered in this book,…

LD Tracking Poll — Latino Voters Overwhelmingly Support DREAM Act

The latest data from the Latino Decisions tracking poll shows 77.5% of Latino registered voters support the DREAM Act amendment, versus just 11.5% who oppose. The new data come from…

Latino vote may provide critical margin for Brown, Boxer in California

A new poll released today by Latino Decisions, in partnership with the Los Angeles Times and University of Southern California shows Latino voters favor Democrat Jerry Brown over Republican Meg…

Latino voter tracking poll: Some brightening news for Democrats?

With five weeks of interviewing complete, we are beginning to see several patterns emerging on several dimensions of importance, even as other measures exhibit a bit of bouncing around, suggesting…