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Latinos are leaving their Republican identity behind

Originally Published at NBC LATINO It’s no secret that the Republican Party has a serious problem with immigration.  But in this instance I’m talking about their problem with Latinos migrating out of their own party. Republicanos are trading in the elephant for the donkey, or at the very least just going without a party vehicle. This week [...]

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Latinos’ Support for Obama Solid in Florida

With the election less than two weeks away there has been a great deal of speculation about the Latino community’s support for President Obama, particularly in Florida. Most recently, an Interactive Voice Response survey, or “robo-poll,” conducted on October 10-11 by Florida International University showed that 50.7% of Latinos in Florida who identified themselves as [...]

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Puerto Rico and Federal Status Legislation, 1952-2012

On November 6, the residents of Puerto Rico will have an opportunity to vote in local island-wide general elections and a status plebiscite. The 2012 plebiscite provides electors with a two-stage vote on the future status of the island. The first stage asks electors to choose between continuing the present Commonwealth or territorial status (Yes) [...]

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Targeting Latino Voters in Campaign Communications: New Evidence and Insights

Hispanics are now the largest minority group in the United States at 16.5 percent of the population and are one of the most sought after groups of voters in swing areas across the country. However, surveys reveal that Hispanics, compared to non-Hispanic whites and African-Americans, have a lower share of voting eligible citizens registered to [...]

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The Impact of SB1070 on the 2012 Latino Vote in Arizona

The last Democratic candidate who won Arizona’s Electoral College votes was Bill Clinton in his bid for re-election in 1996 when Arizona had 8 Electoral College votes. Heading into the 2012 election, Arizona will have 11 Electoral College votes to cast. Like many states in the South and West, Arizona has seen its share of [...]

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Demographic Change and Partisan Gain in Nevada

As the 2012 election moves into its final month, Nevada looms large in most Electoral College prognostications regarding the presidential race and the outcome of the state’s United States Senate race between Democrat Shelley Berkley and Republican Dean Heller may determine partisan control of the upper chamber during the 113th Congress. The fact that Nevada [...]

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Foreign Policy and the 2012 Latino Electorate

Latino foreign policy perspectives, with rare exceptions (De la Garza 1980, De le Garza and Pachon 2000, Valeriano 2007) are an unexplored topic in the foreign policy academic and policy community.  The assumption by cultural critics such as the late Samuel Huntington is that Latinos will look to the South for culture, news, and foreign [...]

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Colorado’s Latina/Latino Gender Gap

The gender gap remains a prominent fixture in this election cycle and the recent Republican National Convention highlighted what some interpreted as the Romney campaign’s attempt to address the issue. Yet, it is not clear how such a gap will play out in the calculus of turning out to vote, and thus the implication for [...]

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The Latino Vote and Down Ticket Races in Nevada

While presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s anemic support among Latinos is likely to weaken his prospects in states with large or emerging Latino voting populations, it is less clear whether his unpopularity among Latinos will spill-over to down ticket races; an issue of particular import for Republican candidates running in competitive House and Senate [...]

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Nominating Marco Rubio Likely Not a Game Changer for Romney in Florida

As we get closer to the Republican National Convention in August in Tampa Bay, FL, speculation grows as to who Mitt Romney will nominate as his candidate for Vice President. Marco Rubio, Cuban American freshman U.S. Senator from Florida, has been a very visible member of the short list of potential nominees. One potential benefit [...]

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