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Expert Opinions: What constitutes a good vs. bad Latino poll

During a webinar and telephonic briefing discussion hosted by NCLR yesterday, experts on political polling and Latino voters analyzed how the national exit polls and many polls throughout the election cycle consistently miss the mark when it comes to Latino voters – and discussed why that is problematic for good post-election analysis and resultant political […]

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LD Vote Predict 2016: Latino Voters Poised to Cast Most Lopsided Presidential Vote on Record

LD Vote Predict: 82% Clinton, 15% Trump, 3% other candidates (+/– 5.5%) In 2012 we unveiled our statistical model predicting election day vote called LD Vote Predict, which proved to be extremely accurate.  Using the same hierarchical Bayesian model we now turn to our 2016 tracking poll to estimate election day vote choice for Clinton v. […]

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Latino Voters are more partisan and energized in 2016 than in 2012

This week, in collaboration with the National Association of Latino Elected Officials Education Fund and Telemundo Noticias, Latino Decisions launched its 2016 weekly tracking poll of the Latino electorate. We conducted a similar tracking poll during the 2012 presidential election and included many of the same questions again this year. Because this is the first […]

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Announcing the 2016 Latino Tracking Poll – Week 1

Today Latino Decisions released the first wave of the 2016 election weekly tracking poll in partnership with NALEO and Noticias Telemundo.  The poll will continue for 8 weekly installments every Monday through the day before Election Day and will track Latino vote choice, enthusiasm, evaluations of party outreach to Latinos, the most important issues, and […]

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#TBT LD Edition: Voters, Candidates, and Enthusiasm

Back in August of 2012, impreMedia and Latino Decisions released our first round of results as part of an eleven week tracking poll series. Today we are taking a look back at those results to see how Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump compare to their political counterparts at this time four years ago. Recent polling […]

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The Trump Effect in the Swing States: New State Polling from American’s Voice and Latino Decisions

New polling from America’s Voice and Latino Decisions released earlier today finds that Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump’s dismal standing with Latino voters has the potential to hurt Republicans’ prospects in a number of swing states, including many with competitive U.S. Senate. The poll of 400 registered Latino voters in each of seven swing states—Arizona, […]

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Translating Trump: When He Talks Immigration, What Latino Voters Hear

In recent weeks media reporting has been rife with speculation that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump was “pivoting” away from the harsh immigration policies and anti-immigrant language that have been the hallmark of his presidential campaign. Yet, as last week’s speech in Arizona—delivered hours after a meeting with Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto—revealed, there is […]

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New Poll Results: America’s Voice/LD 2016 National Latino Voter Survey

Earlier today, America’s Voice and Latino Decisions released the second wave of the 2016 Battleground Poll [Toplines HERE and Crosstabs HERE, and  summary deck HERE] . In coming days, we will be releasing the results of polling done in a number of key states featuring competitive presidential and U.S. Senate races.  The national poll of […]

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The Policy Priorities of Latino Voters in Battleground States

Earlier today, Latino Victory Project and Latino Decisions released the results of a poll examining the issue positions and policy priorities of Latino voters living in a dozen battleground states. [Click here for: toplines, crosstabs, and presentation deck] The poll of 800 Latino registered voters was conducted in English and Spanish between July 18 and […]

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Highlights from Day 4 of LVP/LD/Fusion GOP Convention Poll

Earlier today Latino Decisions, Latino Victory Project, and Fusion released polling results assessing Latino voters’ responses to the last day of the Republican National Convention in Cleveland [Day 1 toplines here, Day 2 toplines here, Day 3 toplines here, and Day 4 toplines here].  These daily polls consist of Spanish and English online surveys of […]

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