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Mobilizing Latinos with Identity Appeals: Evidence from Two Voter Turnout Experiments

Past research shows Latinos are more likely to vote and participate in politics when there is a Latino candidate on the ballot and when issues directly affecting the Latino community are at stake in the election, much like in the current election. This research suggests that ethnic solidarity drives participation. At the same time, dozens […]

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Latinos in non-battleground states of CA, TX, NY reporting much lower levels of outreach

Latino voter contact rates in California, New York and Texas much lower than in battleground states of Arizona, Florida, Nevada and North Carolina With two weeks to go before Election 2016, Texan Latino voters are most  likely to have been ignored, and less certain to vote WASHINGTON, D.C. – With less than two weeks to go […]

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New Data Shows Latino Electorate Continues to Experience Wide Variety of Voting Problems at Polling Place

Long waits, lack of Spanish assistance and issues with identification among problems noted by Latino registered voters. New letter to DOJ calls for deployment of election monitors to areas of concern to ensure voter-intimidation does not affect Latinos and other underrepresented communities   WASHINGTON, D.C. – With two weeks to go before Election Day, the […]

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Latino Tracking Poll Week 6: Clinton 74 – Trump 15

The Latino Decisions weekly tracking poll in partnership with NALEO and Telemundo Noticias is out for October 24, 2016 and shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 74% to 15% (+59).  At this exact same point in 2012, the weekly tracking poll showed Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 71% to 20% (+51).  Back in 2012, 40% […]

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Expert Opinions: What constitutes a good vs. bad Latino poll

During a webinar and telephonic briefing discussion hosted by NCLR yesterday, experts on political polling and Latino voters analyzed how the national exit polls and many polls throughout the election cycle consistently miss the mark when it comes to Latino voters – and discussed why that is problematic for good post-election analysis and resultant political […]

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LD Vote Predict 2016: Latino Voters Poised to Cast Most Lopsided Presidential Vote on Record

LD Vote Predict: 82% Clinton, 15% Trump, 3% other candidates (+/– 5.5%) In 2012 we unveiled our statistical model predicting election day vote called LD Vote Predict, which proved to be extremely accurate.  Using the same hierarchical Bayesian model we now turn to our 2016 tracking poll to estimate election day vote choice for Clinton v. […]

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Latino Voters are more partisan and energized in 2016 than in 2012

This week, in collaboration with the National Association of Latino Elected Officials Education Fund and Telemundo Noticias, Latino Decisions launched its 2016 weekly tracking poll of the Latino electorate. We conducted a similar tracking poll during the 2012 presidential election and included many of the same questions again this year. Because this is the first […]

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Announcing the 2016 Latino Tracking Poll – Week 1

Today Latino Decisions released the first wave of the 2016 election weekly tracking poll in partnership with NALEO and Noticias Telemundo.  The poll will continue for 8 weekly installments every Monday through the day before Election Day and will track Latino vote choice, enthusiasm, evaluations of party outreach to Latinos, the most important issues, and […]

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#TBT LD Edition: Voters, Candidates, and Enthusiasm

Back in August of 2012, impreMedia and Latino Decisions released our first round of results as part of an eleven week tracking poll series. Today we are taking a look back at those results to see how Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump compare to their political counterparts at this time four years ago. Recent polling […]

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The Trump Effect in the Swing States: New State Polling from American’s Voice and Latino Decisions

New polling from America’s Voice and Latino Decisions released earlier today finds that Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump’s dismal standing with Latino voters has the potential to hurt Republicans’ prospects in a number of swing states, including many with competitive U.S. Senate. The poll of 400 registered Latino voters in each of seven swing states—Arizona, […]

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