The results of the 2012 election have awakened the Republican Party to their impending demographic disaster. Substantial growth in the size and power of the Latino vote—and an overwhelming tilt in that vote against their nominee—paints a bleak future for Republican electability. Coupled with startling Democratic vote share among Asian Americans (73%), and an ever [...]
Author Archive | Gary Segura
Growth in Latino enthusiasm and Democratic vote numbers disheartening for the GOP
Week 5 of the ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions 2012 Tracking Poll reveals stabilizing numbers in the Presidential election, growing Latino support in the generic House ballot and—perhaps most importantly for Democratic prospects overall and most disheartening for Republicans—significant growth in Latino enthusiasm for the election. [Download full week 5 results here] Horserace and Congressional Vote We find [...]
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When Good Polling Goes Bad…
Today, a newly released poll from the McClatchy/Marist Poll team reveals a shocking turn-around in the Presidential race among Latinos. Governor Romney is found to lead the President by 11 points among Latino voters, and by 18 points if the fantasy of a Jeb Bush VP nomination accompanies Romney on the ticket. Moreover, the Republicans [...]
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Evolution and Un-Intelligent Design: Why Latinos are Ahead of Barack Obama on Marriage Equality
On October 27, 2010, President Barack Obama famously said that his opinion on marriage equality for same-sex couples was “evolving.” As Joe Sudbay pointed out recently at the Huffington Post, it’s been 500 days. It was an odd thing to say at the time. Having already reversed his position once (between the time he entered [...]
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Despite Conservative Bias, Republican Poll Still Shows Disastrous Disadvantage for Republicans Among Latinos
On Friday, the GOP campaign consulting firm Ayres, McHenry, and Associates released a new poll sponsored by the Resurgent Republic—a GOP research and public affairs organization—and the Hispanic Leadership Network, an outreach effort of the right-of-center American Action Network. Both groups work for the election of additional Republicans to Congress and the defeat of President [...]
It’s True: Latinos are Liberals, and Other Important Matters
By Gary Segura and Shaun Bowler Yesterday Latino Decisions released a new poll finding regarding the debt and deficit as part of its ImpreMedia-Latino Decisions Tracking Poll. When asked whether the preferred solution for closing the deficit was spending cuts, tax increases on the wealthy or a combination of the two, Latino voters overwhelmingly lean [...]
Latino Decisions tracking poll post-election panel discredits National Exit Poll
Latino Decisions interview 1,870 Latino registered voters nationwide across 13 weeks, beginning August 9 and ending on October 28. In the weeks after the election, we attempted to re-contact those registered voters from November 3 – 19, 2010 to ask whether, why, and for whom they voted. Of the original 1,870, we were able to [...]
Final Latino Decisions Tracking Poll Shows Dems Winning Latino Vote
After 11 weeks of interviewing, our fall tracking poll comes to an end with this, the 10th Wave Report. Note, however, that the Latino Decisions Track will continue in 2011, though on a bi-monthly basis. On this, the eve of the 2010 Midterm Elections, we find a Latino vote more energized, more enthused, and significantly [...]
Despite large lead, Dem vote choice still underperforms Democratic partisanship
With little more than two weeks to go until the November election, the most apparent characteristic of this week’s track is stability. Latinos prefer Democratic candidates to Republican candidates, 59.0% to 22.3%, with 18.7% undecided. This margin is modestly weaker than last week’s but do not meaningfully alter the complexion of the race among Latino [...]
4 weeks until election, economy and immigration still top issues for Latinos
It has been a very busy week since our last post. The issue of immigration jumped back into the spotlight as the Whitman housekeeper saga unfolded (over days), California’s gubernatorial candidates debated on Spanish-langauge television, the posturing continued over the failed defense appropriations vote (which was more about Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell and the Dream [...]
Latino Influence 2012
Latino Decisions and America's Voice Education Fund partnered to produce a dynamic map of Latino influence at the state and national level in the 2012 election. See how Latino voter turnout and party support will pave the way to the White House in November.
